Saturday, February 9, 2008

Prediction basics

For first - sorry for my english.

Goal of prediction
The prediction goal is determine the probabilities for various outcomes of soccer events. This probability we use then to determine (by Kelly-criterion) value of bet.

Prediction tools
Predict outcomes is a classification problem. We want classify all matches to three class - HomeWin, Draw, AwayWin. Very usefull classification tool is the Support Vector Machines classification algorithm.



What this about?

For first - sorry for my english.

This blog created for discussing systems, algorithms and schemas
for prediction soccer events outcome. I'll try keep this mathematically strong. Everyone welcome to contribute.