Saturday, February 9, 2008

Prediction basics

For first - sorry for my english.

Goal of prediction
The prediction goal is determine the probabilities for various outcomes of soccer events. This probability we use then to determine (by Kelly-criterion) value of bet.

Prediction tools
Predict outcomes is a classification problem. We want classify all matches to three class - HomeWin, Draw, AwayWin. Very usefull classification tool is the Support Vector Machines classification algorithm.



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